The most popular hypothesis was that the mysterious phenomenon was a comet. Halley's Comet, which appears in the sky every 76 years, was suspected. However, it passed in 12 BC, which was too early. This hypothesis has another serious weakness. "A comet was usually considered a bad omen, a symbol of impending misfortune, yet the sages interpreted it completely differently," explains Dr. Jarosław Włodarczyk from the Institute of the History of Science of the Polish Academy of Sciences.
Then came the idea that the mysterious phenomenon was a supernova, a gigantic stellar explosion that could be visible for a very long time. This would be an interesting hypothesis, except that the astronomers of the time who knew and described these phenomena failed to observe such an explosion between 135 BC and 173 AD.
The most widely supported hypothesis is that of the eminent astronomer from Gdańsk, Johannes Kepler (1571–1630). Based on medieval chronicles, he discovered that the so-called conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn occurred in 7 BC. A conjunction means a union, in this case an apparent one. The three planets align with the Earth in relation to the Sun, so that they appear as if they were one large, bright star. In 7 BC, Jupiter and Saturn conjunct three times.
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